If we want to find guaranteed profitable sports bets then soccer is a great sports to begin with. Soccer matches are priced up by all the big bookmakers and some nice guaranteed profitable bets can be purchased if you know when and where to look. Sports bookmakers never miss a trick when thinking up new ways to extract your cash from you and there are numerous inventive bets on offer.
Soccer can in lots of ways be about timing. The sooner the purchase price appears the much more likely you will have a sure-bet or arbitrage opportunity (arb).
Bookmakers clearly do a lot of research as soccer has be a big earner on their behalf. They have to do this because they are only too aware that the serious punters have become much shrewder in this particular market and can exploit any snippets of news which could allow them to have an advantage. They advertise heavily in the tabloids.
Whereas in some minor sports there may be only one odds compiler doing work for the bookmaker soccer is just too lucrative for this particular any many odds compilers will work feverishly setting prices for your big bookmakers. Any European bookmaker worth its salt will offer you odds on soccer, its a high revenue turnover sport.
Such is the turnover on the ever increasing IBO88 that Ladbrokes as well as other such big bookmakers are able to require a ‘big’ bet on the results of a match. This really is clearly great news for that arb maker. Which means that the utmost bets they are going to accept on a bet are a lot higher.
There are numerous kinds of soccer bets. Firstly you have the match winner. This is split into 3 results, win, lose or draw. And then there are the first goal scorer and the precise match score. The less obvious bets are half-time, full time results, total corners, total throw-ins, total amounts of yellow and red cards and so forth. Actually anything where odds can be set to will offer a betting opportunity.
So what are the best soccer bets to search for? Firstly ignore predicting the match score, there are way too many outcomes. The initial goal scorer is a complete waste of time too. Both these types of bets are heavily advertised but they are for mug punters only, the odds consistently offered are poor, the bookmakers regularly taking over 15% profit on the book. These bets have quite a few possible outcomes. We are trying to find bets with ideally 2 or 3 possible outcomes.
The way to play the soccer marketplace is to open accounts with European bookmakers because the difference in opinion between UK and European bookmakers is a good source of sure bets. Both have strong opinions with this sport. They are going to price the sport in their country and also the matches in foreign countries. Anything to produce a profit.
Italy, for example is even more soccer crazy compared to the UK, with newspapers dedicated to the game. Everyone thinks they know best about this subject and egos get in the form of sensible pricing. This is great news for people. The European bookmakers can be opinionated and where as they may well have greater detailed understanding of the comings and goings in their countries they may be depending on third parties to collate info on their foreign counterparts.
One good starting point is at midweek games between groups of different nationalities. There exists a tendency in punters to obtain patriotic in terms of events in which the opposition are ‘foreign’. The probability of your home team get talked up and also the odds could get skewed within their favour since the weight of cash is overly wagered in their direction.
With that said the large bookmakers present an early price, they are going to often advertise it inside the national papers and by and large stick into it. This means that a bench mark has become set and subsequent bookmakers may have a different opinion or try to tempt money in their direction by offering different odds. If this would happen the arb may be around for a great deal of time.
There will always be discrepancies in odds but clearly bookmakers often stick across the same price. They figure there is safety in numbers. But bear in mind they may be ‘guessing’ just what the odds ought to be just like you and also me. These are basing their opinion on past experience and they also might utilise statistical formulae but they still have to form an opinion on the likely outcome.
They can get it wrong as well as other firms can require a completely different view of the result of any game. An entirely different view is only going to result in a slight variation inside the odds but this can be enough to offer a sure bet profit.
Another approach is to start with the greater obscure games in eg. the Spanish, Italian or Norweigen lower divisions. They can have quite lucrative discrepancies. They will be included in a number of different bookmakers throughout Europe. This will however put in a complication. Although really simple for locating arbs, the mere fact that you concentrate on these obscure matches will throw up the possibility that you are likely to get spotted from the bookmakers if you concentrate your action here.
Also they will be unwilling to accept high maximum bets on matches where they may have done little research. On the other hand this is a training ground for arb spotting and may gain you valuable experience. You need to weigh up the advantages and disadvantages of the strategy.
This can be a fairly obscure area of betting and when someone was to check your account over a number of months and found solely these obscure foreign matches on your own account it might ring alarm bells. The motto the following is to dilute the bets by betting on as numerous different form of sport and events as possible which means that your accounts have varied bets to them. This shouldn’t become a problem as much different sports are perfect for sure bets.
The better prominent European ties will even produce arbs plus they are less likely to draw in focus on you and the maximum bets will be higher.
As before you can not control if the individual bets win or lose but soccer is a 3 way result and thus 2 losing bets to 1 winning one can be of use on the account. The point is that does not many people are interested in the lower European divisions and it may become clear the betting pattern is a bit unusual. This is especially true if your bets to the maximum permitted.
Injury news can be considered a lucrative area in soccer. Think it over. If a player fails a late fitness test on the Saturday and that he is the teams star striker this will greatly affect their chances. Recently Alan Shearer turned as much as play a premiership game for Newcastle but was declared unfit to play at the last minute. Newcastle were soundly beaten. I am not implying this wouldn’t have happened, I don’t know. However the odds on the game clearly changed the minute this news broke.
Some bookmakers were alert for this and altered prices because the money poured in for the opposition. Some were slow to react or would not have reacted in any way. Either way arbs were available. This kind of last minute frantic activity is extremely keen on the betting exchanges like Betfair in which you can work as the punter or even the bookmaker (lay bets).
You can find injury news through one of the numerous soccer internet sites. Alternatively satellite television stations always have comprehensive news coverage of all the games and they are quick to provide any ‘off the press’ news. Slowly the bookmakers’ prices will all change, although not all concurrently, only one at a time so creating sure bets.
In this scenario where costs are changing bet on the old price first. The brand new price is one that wont change the previous cost is one that is going to therefore may be lost if you are not quick.
To re-emphasise, arb hunting can be about timing. When the odds are first produced or have reason to change then your arbs are more likely to appear.
Recently the English referees are becoming more lenient in the issuing of yellow cards. This had an effect on the prices for that total quantity of bookings in a game. A number of the bookmakers adjusted their prices accordingly as well as others did not. This may impact the bet ranges applied for total bookings.
Let’s glance at the red and yellow card market. Should you didn’t know the yellow and red cards bet is calculated as 10 points for a yellow card and 25 points for any red. A player can get yourself a maximum of 35 points in a match (10 25).
The betting the following is normally divided into 3 ranges. Under 11 points at say odds of 100/30, 11 to 30 points, at 6/4 as well as over 30 points, probably the most likely outcome, at about 11/10. This doesn’t vary much unless there xmjyld a history of animosity between the teams where case chances are adjusted accordingly.
Usually this type of bet will never figure strongly within your plans. Plus it is unusual to find information being issued that can impact the total bookings bet. But a simple piece of news like the policy for issuing cards has just changed can affect prices and lead to a number of arb. The conclusion is not really can be expected a lot of sure betting activity from the issuing of red and yellow cards but it not so difficult to check the odds.